Roughriders hang on to top Lions in season opener
Football Betting Lines
07/04/2009 - Regina, SK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Darian Durant threw for 313 yards and had a rushing touchdown to help the Saskatchewan Roughriders to a 28-24 win over the British Columbia Lions in the season opener for both clubs.
Durant went 18-for-32 with three interceptions and added 35 yards on the ground for the Roughriders (1-0), who finished last season with a 12-6 record but lost to the Lions in the Western Semi-Final game. Hugh Charles had 14 carries for 34 yards and a score.
Buck Pierce threw for 186 yards on 17-for-33 passing with a touchdown and two interceptions and added a touchdown on the ground for the Lions (0-1), who went 11-7 last season and lost to Calgary in the West Final. Emmanuel Arceneaux had three catches for 40 yards and a score.
The Roughriders got the first score of the game as Durant's 10-yard touchdown run gave the team a 7-0 lead a bit over five minutes in, and Jamie Boreham got a single on the ensuing kickoff.
The Lions answered later in the first as Ryan Phillips stepped in front of a pass and took it into the end zone from 60 yards out to make it an 8-7 game.
A 37-yard field goal off the foot of Luca Congi late in the first quarter gave Saskatchewan an 11-7 lead.
A bit over four minutes into the second quarter, Charles took the ball into the end zone from two yards out and on the Lions' ensuing drive, Stuart Foord recovered a Paul McCallum fumble and took it into the end zone from 12 yards out for a 25-7 lead.
With close to two minutes left in the first half, British Columbia cut into its deficit as Arceneaux caught a 23-yard touchdown pass from Pierce to make it a 25-14 game going into the break.
With under two minutes to play in the third quarter, Pierce ran the ball into the end zone from six yards out, but the two-point conversion failed and it was a 25-20 game heading into the final 15 minutes.
A single from British Columbia a bit over a minute into the four quarter made it a four-point game, but a 22-yard field goal off the foot of Congi with a bit over eight minutes to play gave the Roughriders a 28-21 lead.
The Lions had a golden opportunity to tie the game late in the fourth as a blocked punt gave the team the ball in Saskatchewan territory, but the Roughrider defense held tight and British Columbia was only able to get a 38- yard field goal from McCallum with 2:01 to play.
The British Columbia defense held Saskatchewan on the ensuing possession to give the offense one last chance, but the Roughriders defense stood tall to hang on for the win.
Game Notes
Martell Mallett had six carries for 63 yards for British Columbia...Weston Dressler caught seven passes for 156 yards for Saskatchewan...The Roughriders defense has nine sacks in the game.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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